Monday, March 14, 2016
Ind. Gov't. - "4 States Have Competitive Attorney General Races in 2016"
Governing has this story today, reported by Louis Jacobson. A few quotes:
The three contests we’re currently rating as tossups are all held by Democrats: Missouri, North Carolina and Pennsylvania.
The fourth competitive contest is the GOP-held seat in Indiana. With this handicapping, we’ve changed the rating from tossup to lean Republican, although the race is fluid enough to easily return to the tossup category later in the campaign season. * * *
Indiana: Open seat; AG Greg Zoeller (R) is running for Congress (shifts from tossup)
Indiana is a Republican-leaning state, but the GOP must sort out its large field of candidates, a process that will include a state party convention. The GOP field includes former Republican AG Steve Carter, a longtime confidant of Zoeller; Randy Head, a two-term state senator and former county prosecutor; Elkhart County prosecutor Curtis Hill, Jr.; and Abigail Kuzma, an official in the AG’s office. Carter is the only one to have sought statewide office before, though his long career could be a negative in an anti-establishment year. Head, who has a reputation for unpretentiousness, has won plaudits for his legislative record. Hill is known as a tough prosecutor, and he’s had a good start in fundraising. Kuzma, for her part, has dealt with consumer protection and sex trafficking at the AG’s office, but has the least electoral experience in the GOP field.
Once the Republican nomination is settled, the party should start out with an edge in the general election, even though the Democrats are expected to field an intriguing candidate in retired Lake County Circuit Court Judge Lorenzo Arredondo. He was the longest serving elected Latino state trial judge in the country when he retired from the bench in 2010. Whether the Democrats have a good shot of flipping the AG seat depends more than anything on external factors, especially on how voters feel in November about GOP Gov. Mike Pence, who has been having a rough year or two. For now, the Democrats are focusing more attention on ousting Pence and protecting the superintendent of public instruction post. But if Pence remains unpopular, the AG contest could shift back to tossup.
Posted by Marcia Oddi on March 14, 2016 11:14 AM
Posted to Indiana Government